Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.479437 3.696639 3.926340 4.188365 4.480245 4.796867 5.168304
2025-10-05 3.121895 3.427652 3.769389 4.183688 4.678013 5.256429 5.996082
2025-10-12 2.939109 3.300714 3.720836 4.253280 4.922698 5.754962 6.900107
2025-10-19 2.801188 3.201187 3.680232 4.309489 5.135970 6.219173 7.813004
2025-10-26 2.672564 3.096637 3.616999 4.320891 5.280119 6.596614 8.656368
2025-11-02 2.535952 2.969521 3.511598 4.261996 5.315422 6.817572 9.295898
2025-11-09 2.400803 2.834358 3.384404 4.159903 5.274991 6.916220 9.750047
2025-11-16 2.297748 2.733754 3.294661 4.099550 5.284421 7.084567 10.342673
2025-11-23 2.238155 2.685763 3.270600 4.126730 5.421566 7.463691 11.378752
2025-11-30 2.179421 2.635186 3.238966 4.138883 5.534195 7.813702 12.437769
2025-12-07 2.081263 2.527053 3.122161 4.018145 5.427101 7.776326 12.705328
2025-12-14 2.000939 2.439811 3.030252 3.928406 5.361471 7.802401 13.112327
2025-12-21 1.937604 2.375096 2.969442 3.885391 5.374316 7.981786 13.935621
2025-12-28 1.891306 2.332201 2.937822 3.885169 5.458784 8.306760 15.209303
2026-01-04 1.866806 2.318231 2.946490 3.947002 5.653339 8.871351 17.305662
2026-01-11 1.840503 2.300305 2.947977 3.996732 5.830601 9.430676 19.657692
2026-01-18 1.805142 2.267901 2.926168 4.006811 5.936373 9.857014 21.836993
2026-01-25 1.755648 2.213384 2.868790 3.954727 5.921578 10.014829 23.202290
2026-02-01 1.699086 2.146909 2.790864 3.864308 5.826914 9.977300 23.846558
2026-02-08 1.654913 2.097143 2.736552 3.810779 5.798995 10.093197 25.172395
2026-02-15 1.632402 2.078207 2.728492 3.834893 5.924072 10.597955 28.496381
2026-02-22 1.607834 2.055375 2.713353 3.845672 6.023232 11.057682 32.067574
2026-03-01 1.556644 1.991790 2.632690 3.738485 5.873984 10.849130 32.047326